Finland vs Poland: prediction & betting odds 10 June 2025

The Matchday 4 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Finland and Poland will be held on June 10 at the Olympic Stadium in Helsinki. Finland vs. Poland: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Finland

In the last round, the Finnish team lost 0-2 at home to the Netherlands. This was Finland's first defeat in the current qualifying cycle after a win over Malta (1-0) and a draw with Lithuania (2-2). Despite the setback, Jakob Friis's side retains second place in Group G. However, Finland has conceded the most goals in the group (4).

• The team has scored in 5 of their last 7 World Cup qualifiers.
• At home in this tournament, Finland has not won in 5 of their last 6 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
• Finland has conceded at least one goal in 9 of their last 11 home World Cup qualifiers.

Projected lineup for Finland (4-4-2)

Lukáš Hrádecký – Jere Uronen, Arttu Hoskonen, Miro Tenho, Matti Peltola – Robin Lod, Kaan Kairinen, Robert Ivanov, Nikolai Alho – Joel Pohjanpalo, Oliver Antman.

Poland

In the previous two matches of this qualifying cycle, Poland defeated Lithuania (1-0) and Malta (2-0). The team skipped the last round and played a friendly against Moldova (2-0). Notably, Poland has won 6 of their last 7 World Cup qualifiers (1 loss) and kept clean sheets in five of those matches. In Group G, Michał Probierz's side is in first place, two points clear of their nearest rival.

• The team's scoring streak in World Cup qualifiers spans 16 matches.
• In this tournament, Poland has not lost in 8 of their last 10 away matches (6 wins, 2 draws).
• Both teams scored in 5 of Poland's last 6 away World Cup qualifiers.

Projected lineup for Poland (4-4-2)

Marcin Bułka – Jakub Kiwior, Jan Bednarek, Mateusz Skrzypczak, Matty Cash – Jakub Moder, Nicola Zalewski, Sebastian Szymański, Bartosz Slisz – Adam Buksa, Kamil Grosicki.

Forward Robert Lewandowski has declined a call-up to the national team due to a conflict with the head coach.

Referee

João Pinheiro (Portugal)

Matches – 13 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 37;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.8;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 22;

Penalties – 23%.

Finland vs. Poland: Match Prediction

Finland had favorable opponents in the first two rounds, but matches against Malta and Lithuania were challenging for Jakob Friis's side. The encounter with a stronger opponent resulted in a defeat, and it will likely be tough against Poland as well. Even at home, Finland has only managed to beat Kazakhstan in their last six World Cup qualifiers. Although they managed to keep Kazakhstan at bay, they conceded at least two goals in the other matches during this period.

Poland has shown strong results even in away World Cup qualifiers, remaining unbeaten in 8 of their last 10 matches, with 6 wins. The team failed to score in only one game during this period and scored at least twice in 7 matches.

I believe Poland will capitalize on Finland's defensive issues and achieve a positive result. My prediction: "Poland will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals"

* The starting lineup for each team is based on their previous match.